Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 3.631752 4.282919 5.042072 5.998756 7.180955 8.605332 10.468618
2024-12-22 2.619632 3.400655 4.424586 5.890355 7.976656 10.905515 15.450131
2024-12-29 2.141060 2.952415 4.099085 5.885232 8.687038 13.075447 20.817571
2025-01-05 1.803161 2.603051 3.800664 5.794452 9.177762 14.983769 26.432917
2025-01-12 1.605014 2.411644 3.682467 5.928803 10.027261 17.696319 34.565171
2025-01-19 1.404490 2.178488 3.448689 5.806335 10.375232 19.579064 41.868269
2025-01-26 1.327875 2.130657 3.507195 6.202388 11.788507 24.030159 57.240268
2025-02-02 1.242225 2.052622 3.496525 6.460888 12.990248 28.461546 75.269861
2025-02-09 1.174206 1.994366 3.509538 6.764847 14.373659 33.866538 99.887073
2025-02-16 1.092446 1.899214 3.436342 6.871020 15.328838 38.570493 125.989592
2025-02-23 1.025087 1.821880 3.385329 7.013743 16.417410 44.137986 160.359416
2025-03-02 0.941771 1.703453 3.233608 6.895277 16.791639 47.729102 190.175733
2025-03-09 0.885039 1.642501 3.217842 7.163807 18.527738 57.434732 265.695689
2025-03-16 0.798993 1.513591 3.041834 7.015113 19.076986 63.696967 336.773784
2025-03-23 0.735416 1.422018 2.932114 7.009689 20.080650 72.558651 444.931026
2025-03-30 0.673573 1.325708 2.795329 6.897765 20.702651 80.429400 568.489670
2025-04-06 0.635269 1.275675 2.759470 7.063357 22.393785 94.949836 803.263851
2025-04-13 0.584588 1.191475 2.626939 6.912408 22.854562 103.790766 1018.114518
2025-04-20 0.570136 1.188195 2.696307 7.401035 26.121774 132.409044 1668.919530
2025-04-27 0.548448 1.165031 2.710505 7.720674 28.889227 162.094800 2619.464153
2025-05-04 0.530320 1.148021 2.738272 8.097222 32.177365 201.149752 4319.896401
2025-05-11 0.504417 1.108711 2.698550 8.228924 34.387996 235.959993 6597.997931
2025-05-18 0.482173 1.075972 2.672372 8.406101 36.989816 280.062853 10574.039125